Alik
Bahshi
"Turkish game" on "Grand
Chessboard"
In contrast to the well-known in the
theory of chess "Vienna game" "The Turkish game" is
relatively new and not yet thoroughly Research all its options, but it has
played Recep Erdogan to "Grand Chessboard" by Zbigniew Bjezinski.
Sure, you could call it, and "Debut Erdogan," but the fact is that it
would have played out any other player, because due to the vital necessity, and
not a personal initiative of Prime Minister Erdogan, who, to his credit it must
be said as it is brilliant, and how well the party will continue to be seen.
Turkey today is a successful and harmonious
developing country, shows a marked increase as the traditional Turkish
agricultural and industrial production, which, and this is important, at a
faster pace than agricultural. Naturally is interested in peace and stability,
but the Middle East is far from a prerequisite for prosperity and care to
provide a favorable political climate in the region duty of political
leadership.
Against the background of recent events the
Middle East, Turkey, due to pragmatic policy Erdogan, came very prepared for
the threshold of the inevitable future changes in the region. The definition of
"pragmatic" gives a certain amount of cold practicality and cynicism,
but if we remember the words of Andrei Sakharov humanist that "ultimately
a moral choice is the most pragmatic," namely morality and is the main
component in the policy of the Turkish Prime Minister. According to my understanding,
Erdogan can be attributed to the leaders who are choosing the right strategic
goal thinking ahead advance their political moves to an end, and, most importantly, their
consequences. As for morality, which is usually not compatible with the policy,
then try to run the analysis show that it is difficult to accuse Erdogan of
immorality of his policy.
Geopolitical picture around Turkey
extraordinarily complex. In human history, probably no more than the desired
point on the Earth for the possession of which fought during all civilizations
and eras. Being at the crossroads of Europe and Asia, Turkey has been the
subject of claims of many states and, especially, Russia. The history of
relations between Russia and Turkey, is a story of constant wars in which
Russia was the aggressor.
Immediately after World War II to the share
of the Turkish people, the threat of dismemberment of the country on the sector
and the loss of independence, came a fierce struggle with the
Franco-Greek-Italian coalition and the Armenian nationalists, which under the
leadership of Ataturk was a convincing victory. Since then, relations with
Greece and Armenia remain hostile. These include, and Bulgaria, which held the
government program "Bulgarization Turks", in which the Bulgarian
Turks proposed to change the name of the Slavic or leave the country.
Next Iran, a country which is quite a long
historical period, there was no war, and yet the relationship cannot be
considered friendly, especially given axis Moscow-Yerevan-Tehran political
economical aims to prevent, first, the supply of energy from the Caspian Basin
through Turkey to Europe, bypassing Russia, and secondly, to create a
continuous geographic corridor between Turkey and Azerbaijan, which can alarm
in Iran, which includes the South Azerbaijan. By the way, the main reason for
Russia's aggression against Georgia in 2008, it cut the Baku-Ceyhan oil
pipeline that passes through the Georgian territory, and to put an end to the
"Nabucco" project, which would deprive the Russian monopoly on the
sale of gas to Europe. Russian Foreign Ministry has officially filed a note of
protest against laying a trans-Caspian gas pipeline under the Caspian Sea,
which provides for "Nabucco", citing the danger of seismic activity
area. Of course Russia will use its best efforts to implement the death its
economy project. In general, according expansion inflame passions around the Caspian Sea, to be major political fuss that
has the potential to develop into a world-scale military conflict. Kremlin is
only to give the go-ahead to Yerevan to set fire to a smoldering Karabakh
conflict and war will break out again, and the fact that this time will not be
without the participation of Turkey, no doubt.
Now as to the direction of the southern
Arabian. Here, too, Turkey unenviable situation. As a strategic partner of
Israel, Turkey unwittingly supported Israel in its confrontation with the Arabs
and would not consider erroneously Arab majority in the Middle East. Today, the Arab-Israeli conflict is a
major destabilizing factor in the region. It should be noted, a military
alliance with Israel, Turkey, except regional problems, did not give any
benefits. No doubt Erdogan knows that reckless policy of Tel Aviv is Israel to
fatal isolation and the probability of being a pariah of the international
community, making the company its ally, Turkey is unlikely to suit.
As a result, Turkey's standing in front
of a closed door in the EU, in an environment hostile country strategic vision
is far from rosy. It is this fact and forced Ankara to take political steps,
where still possible to change the situation.
For this purpose, since the Second Lebanon War, Turkey undertakes mediation
attempts to mitigate the level of confrontation over its unruly ally with the
Arabs, but Israel, stubbornly ignoring international opinion, continuing the
policy of occupation and building of settlements on Palestinian territory. Ankara
cannot see the trend of deterioration of the situation around Israel. Israel
not only plays in the information field, but there is not successful and
hostilities. All under increasing pressure from the Arab Israel was forced to
leave Lebanon, occupying army to withdraw from the Gaza Strip, destroying
Jewish settlements. The defeat in the second Lebanon recognize Israeli
politicians and army command, for the war aims were not achieved. Military
failures occur not because the Israeli army poorly equipped, but because it is
at war with the civilian population. In order to win the war in the first place
needs an opponent, his army. Throwing bombs among the defenseless population
can hardly achieve anything but hate, anger and radicalization of the political
forces of the Palestinian resistance as an example of the party
"Hamas". The world has been struck by violent operation "Cast
Lead", the use of illicit phosphorus bombs even in such a densely
populated area like Gaza. The international community has condemned Israel.
Swept the country anti-Israel demonstration was not spared, and Turkey, and
Erdogan accused Israel of numerous victims among the civilian population of
Gaza, only expressed the opinion of the Turkish community in the Israeli army.
At this point, we can say, and began the rift between the two allies. This was
followed by the demonstrative humiliation of Turkish Ambassador Ahmed
Chellikkola the Israeli Foreign Ministry, where, after an official protest was
expressed in about the show on Turkish TV movie "Walk of wolves,"
which is the episode with the ugly actions of "Mossad".
Turkey is a democratic country and a sign
of this statement is irrefutable fact the active participation of the Turkish
people in politics and not only in the election of the government, but also in
various public, including international humanitarian organizations to which the
Turkish government has nothing to do, such as to perturb the Israeli power
movie "Walk the wolves" and to deliver humanitarian aid to Gaza.
Israel charges the Turkish government organizations flotilla «Free Gaza» totally
groundless, because you can just as well accuse the Government of Ireland,
France, America, the citizens who participated in the flotilla. Israel's
refusal to completely just demand Turkey to apologize and pay compensation for
the killing of nine Turkish citizens during the night attack and even in
international waters Israeli commandos on the Turkish ship "Mavi
Marmara" finally made it impossible to return to the previous level of
strategic partnership. Moreover, Israel hastily concluded in defiance of Turkey
military cooperation with Greece and Cyprus, which naturally was seen by Ankara
as nothing but a hostile move.
Thus, at the official level of
international relations, it is Israel actually initiated the break the alliance
with Turkey. Moreover, Israel has defined himself against its former ally,
despite more than loyalty to the Turkish Jews throughout history. Even the
participation of Jews in the heaviest for Turkey Gallipoli battle of World War
I on the side of the British and French had no effect on the Jews living in
Turkey. True participation consisted in glorious quartermaster "Mule
Corps' number 650 and 750 mules led by Trumpeldor, and maybe that's because the
Turks themselves, and did not take offense, but the fact you have one.
It is hard to imagine that Erdogan
predicted the "Arab spring", but it just so happens by force of
circumstances, which occurred on the eve of the Turkish-Israeli rift strategic
alliance, led Turkey to lead regional state, the economic power of the country,
thanks to Erdogan, was supplemented sensible policy.
Turkey, unlike Israel, as a truly
democratic state supported the democratic progress in the Arab world. Erdogan
immediately boldly spoke out against the dictatorial regimes in the Arab
nation, which certainly will be counted a positive assessment of his political
career. By the way, a different ratio of the two former allies to the ongoing
democratic progress in the Arab world demonstrates who are really committed to
the principles of democracy. Israel claims to be the only democratic country in
the Middle East entirely without foundation, and as a country that has no
constitution, the country, where there is no separation of legislative and
executive powers, the country in which religion is not separated from the
state, the country's policy of apartheid against in the occupied territory, the
country in which there is no market economy can be called democratic.
Israeli fears are understandable before awakening of the Arab nation, for the
departure from the political scene of dictators, for which the main priority
was to maintain his personal power, disappear obstacle to the unification of
the nation and solve national problems. Having lost an ally in Turkey, Israel
alone is in the region before the Arab majority, and if the American taxpayer
understand foolishness instigated
by George Bush wars in Afghanistan and Iraq over the alien American interests,
Israel, while maintaining its aggressive policy, the path to oblivion booked (1).
Rupture of relations with Turkey, Israel
will try to explain the policy of Islamization, which allegedly holds Erdogan,
without citing a single fact of Islamization. What's wrong in that raze
understood by the term Islamization! To label, Israeli politicians do not
bother what is on their own understanding of the "Islamization".
Maybe in Turkey in secular schools teach Islam, like Judaism in Israel, which
is a compulsory subject. Maybe that Turkey welcomed the fall of the dictatorial
regimes in some Arab countries? And America with France and Britain, which help
people in revolt to overthrow the usurpers, can be accused of Islamization. On
the other hand the religious laws in Israel Halacha rose to the rank of state,
just as the laws of Sharia in Iran. Incidentally Judaism contains racism does
not exist in Islam (2).
Erdogan today is a model for the
Arab countries, which, if democratization may well be on the path of creating
associations or political-economic union by type of EU, and implement such a
way it is much easier than creating a Turkic union for reasons of anti-Russia,
Iran, Armenia and China (3).
1. Israel, - way to nonexistence, http://www.proza.ru/2008/03/23/506
2. Israeli Democracy or "Jewish view of the world».
https://samlib.ru/editors/b/bahshi_a/alikbahshi-2.shtml
3. Turkey, Turkic-line or is it a terrible word - Pan-Turkism.
http://zhurnal.lib.ru/b/bahshi_a/bahshi-6.shtml
09/10/11
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